Sorry, AI Just Can’t Sniff Out a Market Crash

Wiki Article

Joseph Plazo just reminded a room full of elite students something Wall Street won’t admit: AI may be efficient, but it can’t judge the unexpected.

MANILA — This wasn’t a pep talk—it was a strategic slap.

On a humid Thursday morning at the prestigious AIM campus in Manila, Plazo stood before a sea of students from top Asian universities—AIM—ready for a sermon on AI’s glory in finance.

What they got instead? A splash of cold market reality.

“AI is like your smartest intern,” Plazo noted, “But you still don’t give the intern the keys to your vault.”

The room chuckled. Then they grew quiet. Because he meant every word.

### The Hard Truth: AI Is Smart—But Not Human

Let’s be clear—Plazo isn’t some boomer clinging to the past. He architects trading AIs. His firm, Plazo Sullivan Roche Capital, powers some of the most accurate systems across global markets. He understands machine learning like few do.

But that’s why his warning cut deep.

“The problem isn’t AI,” he told the room. “The problem is us. We keep believing it’ll save us from making hard decisions. That’s not its job.”

Plazo unpacked real-world case studies—moments when AI signaled winning trades… just ahead of a central bank pivot or an unexpected war. Moments no dataset could foresee.

### Even The Bold Questions Got Burned

A student from Kyoto asked if LLMs might someday gauge global sentiment.

Plazo grinned.

“AI can spot a tweetstorm. But it won’t sense dread in a press conference. It misses regret in a central banker’s sigh.”

The room exhaled. Message received.

Another asked, “Can AI ever understand conviction?”

Plazo raised an eyebrow.

“Conviction isn’t math. It’s instinct. It’s shaped by failure and memory. You can’t download that.”

### This Wasn’t a Tech Talk—It Was an Intervention

This wasn’t about flash trading or chatbots. It was about responsibility.

Students admitted they saw AI as a cheat code—an escape hatch from risk, from thinking too hard. Plazo called it out.

“You can automate your trades. You will never automate your judgment.”

That line landed. Because everyone in that room—from the copyright cowboys to the quant whizzes—wanted alpha. But not at the cost of their sense.

### Give AI the Tools—Not the Steering Wheel

Plazo didn’t trash AI. He credited its strengths:

- It filters noise.
- It backtests at scale.
- It tracks technical setups better than any human.

But it can’t read sarcasm. It won’t grasp when a politician is bluffing. And it doesn’t care if your retirement burns.

“If your AI bot makes a bad call,” Plazo asked, “do you still take the loss? Or do you hide behind the code?”

That’s leadership talking.

### This Isn’t About AI—It’s About You

Plazo wasn’t preaching finance. He was preaching self-leadership. Use AI—but don’t worship it. Let it assist—not decide.

And yes—he still believes in the machines. He’s building tools that track geopolitics, misinformation, even psychological nuance.

But he left no doubt:

“No machine can tell you when *not* to act. That’s your job.”

### Final Thought: Maybe the Future Needs Less Code—And More Courage

As the crowd filed website out—buzzing, challenged, changed—one phrase echoed down the halls:

“AI doesn’t know your values. So don’t let it make your decisions.”

In a world chasing speed, Plazo offered something rarer:

A pause.

Because investing isn’t just about *winning*. It’s about knowing **why** you played.